Okay guys, this is getting pretty serious. I know it's been said already, but we've only got two days left until we're done for if we don't lynch a werewolf in that time. Lets try and approach these next few rounds logically and rationally so that we do our best to stay alive. I'm going to try and do just that.
So here it is.
Next round, the odds are 3:7 to lynch a wolf, so we've got a 30% chance to lynch one of the scum. The day after that, if we don't make a correct lynch, the odds will be 3:5 and a 37.5% chance to kill one. However, if we do, then the odds are at 2:6, and we have a 33.3% chance. (Feel free to check my math, I did it mostly in my head, so I could be wrong)
Now, for the suspects villagers, in order, excluding those who have died.
1. ChillBill- He's been fairly active, and was accused in the first round, but he's still not completely cleared of suspicion.
3. GhostPony750- I'm not entirely sure about GP, although he did vote for Dare the first round, who died the next night.
5. Wailord_2- Not too much to base off of, but he landed the final vote for DragoBoy's lynch.
7. CherryGrove- Most of his posts are pretty rational, but he seems strongly set against ChillBill, which could be something. Also, Dare voted for him and died the next night.
8. James86134- To me, he's one of the most suspicious. He's been acting pretty defensively the entire game, and was quick to change his vote to bandwagon Shiny Hunter. I had also the theory regarding the Jeopardy game and DNA's death, although it might be nothing, since DNA was a strong player anyway. And there was that delay in werewolf killing the second night in conjunction with his unusual absence, so that should be noted.
10. Thundawave- Now Thundawave is the one who I'm most confident in being innocent. She's been the most analytical of everyone, and a werewolf isn't likely to give the village any extra ammunition.
11. Argonaut457- I know Argonaut IRL, and I'd like to believe he's innocent, but I can't say for sure just yet, since he hasn't given me too much to go off of.
12. Eeveelution-Master- He'a not too active, but he's been present for the voting stages, so he's still contributing something, I guess.
13 & 15. alkranite & SanguinaryScientist- Now these two are acting pretty sketchy. Voting together both times for both of the lynch candidates? They're both new to Werewolf, at least on Psypokes, so I wouldn't be surprised if they were both wolves, and just slipped up in staying hidden, or something of that nature. It could also be that only one of them is a wolf, and the other is following behind unknowingly, but nevertheless, I'm convinced that at least one of these two are the ones we're looking for.
And yes, before you comment on it, I intentionally left myself off of the list. Although it probably won't matter, because if my suspicions are correct, the wolves are likely to eat anyone suspicious of them (in this case, me) in order to lessen their chances of dying during the lynch period. Although, then again, the wolves seem to be picking off inactives, so they could easily kill another quieter player instead... All this speculation is hurting my head. Lets just pray we can win this soon, before I get a migraine.
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- 2 (Wailord, Eeveelution Master)
- 5 (James86134, GhostPony, alkranite, Sangiunary, Chillbill)
- 1 (CherryGrove)
(SanguinaryScientist, twistedturtwig, Argonaut457, alkranite, Wailord_2)